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How Many Rate Cuts Will There Be For The Rest Of The Year? UBS Analyst’s Forecast Contradicts FED’s Announcements

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UBS senior US fairness strategist Nadia Lovell not too long ago appeared on CNBC’s ‘Squawk Field’ to debate the most recent market developments and what it can take to maneuver the market increased.

Heading into the second half of the 12 months, Lovell expects the market to stay on an upward development, though to not the magnitude of the 14%-plus development within the first half. Lovell believes the upcoming earnings report season will probably be essential to pushing the market increased, provided that valuations are at the moment stretched.

Curiously, Lovell’s market thesis depends on two fee cuts this calendar 12 months, beginning in September. Nevertheless, he defined that the market doesn’t want these reductions to rise, as evidenced by the market’s efficiency within the first half of the 12 months. Lovell believes earnings experiences would be the main driver of market development.

In response to the analyst, former President Trump’s proposed 10% normal tariff and 60% tariff on imports from China may have an affect on firms and inflation. Whereas it may gain advantage industries which can be extra uncovered to competitors from China, it may be a hurdle for these with provide chains overseas.

The following Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) assembly will probably be held on July 30-31, 2024.

*This isn’t funding recommendation.

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